The Fall of the Dollar in 2028 ? USD fall Aug 25th, 2028 ?
Final high for Dow in 2027-28. Final high for Dow in 2027-28
Wednesday, November 30, 2022
Monday, November 21, 2022
Ukraine & Fake News
Posted Nov 22, 2022 by Martin Armstrong
QUESTION: Sir, Discussing Ukraine with a friend, I brought up the Belgrade Agreement of 1991. Searching the internet I found one article besides your blog spot that references it. I couldn’t find it. Do you have a copy? Censorship at its finest.
Keep up the good work.
DK
ANSWER: That is really unbelievable. The agreement was reached in 1994 following the collapse of the USSR in 1991. Al Gore was quoted by the Guardian on December 18, 1993: “Ukraine is deceiving us all” and that its nuclear policies were “evil.” As the Guardian reported that the Ukrainian “government and its parliament are already in NATO’s bad books for refusing to make good their promise to abandon nuclear weapons.” It was Ukraine that was threatening the entirety of Eastern Europe for their hatred of Russians dating back to ethnic cleansing from the Nazi era was alive and well. You absolutely cannot trust anything Ukraine would ever agree to. I have warned that when shaking hands with Ukraine, you better forget counting your fingers; you need to make sure you still have your arm. Even the IMF has said that Ukraine is the most corrupt country in Europe. NOTHING they say can be trusted.
There was a very real deep fear that Ukraine would not only make sure that the cold war would continue, but they also were highly radical and would use nuclear weapons to claim Russia fired first. Ukraine is a country that is not trusted by its neighbors. It is absurd propaganda that they are fighting for Democracy by refusing to allow the Donbas to vote when they absolutely hate the people there. But the West refuses to protect the Donbas also because they are simply Russians. This one-sided view of human rights allows Ukraine to propel the entire world toward World War III.
Every document you look at and the press pre-2022 cast Ukraine as a dangerous country dominated by corruption and engulfed still in this view of ethnic cleansing from the days of Hitler. Because the CIA protected the Ukrainians, they have never been held accountable, and they are now propelling the world into war.
But Adalaide University just published a study on how Ukraine has been using BOTS to manipulate the world’s opinion to support Ukraine and the destruction of Russia. Ukraine has always been disliked by its neighbors because of its support for Hitler. They have long been considered radicals and linked to the Nazis all because Hitler promised to allow them to create their own country.
Ukraine was NEVER a country before the USSR. They were more like the Kurds in Iraq. The borders they are fighting for were merely drawn for administrative purposes by the USSR. They were the ones who pushed for the collapse of the USSR, and they were the ones who immediately began forming an army of 400,000 that scared the hell out of all their neighbors.
By 1992, they were fighting to take over the Russian fleet. Even Dick Cheney was deeply concerned because Ukraine was irresponsible, and their hatred of Russians from the Nazi days surged to the surface. They had more nuclear weapons than China at the time.
James Baker went to negotiate and argued that Ukraine should surrender its nuclear weapons. There were never trusted. Just like the Serbs in Bosnia, the hatred ran very deep. Ukraine took the position that it would only surrender its nuclear weapons if Russia did. Their arguments were simply colored with Russian hatred. They instantly formed an army after 1991, and the Belgrade Agreement was finally reached in 1994, where they agreed to surrender their weapons and remain neutral, with NATO vowing not to invade, and Russia took the same position. Only then did Ukraine agree to surrender its nukes, for they realized that NATO did not trust them and would regard Ukraine as a terrorist state hostile to Europe.
Ukraine then argued it would cost too much to surrender all its nukes. They were the third-largest nuclear power in the world. They then demanded all sorts of guarantees, which they have violated today, but they also extorted money from the United States to disarm their nukes. To cement the deal, Bill Clinton paid Ukraine $175 million to return the nukes to Russia, and Russia, in return, provided the nuclear power rods for Ukraine. Of course, FAKE NEWS seems to be repainting history with the current color of fashion.
The Ukrainian Civil War was started by the UNELECTED government installed by the US & NATO. They immediately sent an army to attack the Russians in the Donbas. They called it an “anti-terrorist operation,” all to pretend they wore white hats. The Ukrainian people did NOT vote for this war. This was instigated by the West. I warned from the outset that our computer back in 2013 pinpointed Ukraine as the place where World War III would begin. It is now being driven to destroy Russia for climate change. This is NOT my personal opinion. Sorry, I wish it were. Then I could be wrong like any person. But this is the computer projecting, and it has been dispassionate.
For the Ukrainians who cheer war, I remind you of the story of Croesus, king of Lydia. He asked the Oracle at Delphi if he would win if he waged war upon Persia. The Oracle replied, “A great empire will be destroyed.” He took that as his victory. He lost, and the collapse of the great empire was his. Ah, how stupidity causes history to repeat. Ukraine will be utterly destroyed. Their view of a nation-state will be but a fleeting moment of greatness. They are destroying all the lives of their own people simply because of their hatred of Russians and their quest for ethnic cleansing. Everyone supporting Ukraine in this hatred will suffer the same fate. Post-2032, we will get to redesign our government from the ground up. Nothing will remain standing like the fallen statutes of Egypt and Rome. Our time will come.
Zelensky was elected on a promise to end corruption, yet, he has stashed more money offshore than any former leader in Ukraine. He promised to end the civil war and seek peace with Russia. He lied to gain power and has done exactly the opposite. This guy puts money before his own country while hiding it offshore, as the Pandora Papers confirm, and refuses to negotiate or honor the Minsk Agreement because fools would stop sending money to his government, and the well would quickly dry up.
The day before Putin came to defend the Donbas, Zelensky stood up and said he would seek to reestablish nuclear weapons. That ended Ukraine’s 1994 agreement to remain neutral. This was like 1962 when Russia put nukes in Cuba.
The people who never question anything about Ukraine are the same people who believed COVID was like the black plague and you would die without a vaccine and a mask. People are so easily manipulated. Unfortunately, if they were not, how would you get people lining up to fight and die on a battlefield when the very BEST they could ever hope for is to return unharmed to a family who is still there?
Bots manipulate public opinion in Russia-Ukraine conflict
Researchers from the University of Adelaide have found bots have had a major online presence during the war between Russia and Ukraine.
The researchers analyzed 5,203,764 tweets, retweets, quote tweets, and replies posted to Twitter between February 23, 2022, and March 8, 2022, containing the hashtags
#(I)StandWithPutin, #(I)StandWithRussia, #(I)SupportRussia, #(I)StandWithUkraine, #(I)StandWithZelenskyy and #(I)SupportUkraine.
“We found that between 60 and 80 per cent of tweets using the hashtags we studied came from bot accounts during the first two weeks of the war,” said co-lead researcher Joshua Watt, an MPhil candidate in Applied Mathematics and Statistics from the University of Adelaide’s School of Mathematical Sciences. “This drove more angst in the online discourse and even impacted discussions surrounding people’s decision to flee or stay in Ukraine.”
“We observed increases in words such as ‘shame,’ ‘terrorist,’ ‘threat,’ and ‘panic.’ Pro-Russian human accounts were having the largest influence on discussions of the war – particularly on accounts which were pro-Ukraine. To our knowledge, this is the first body of published work which addresses online influence operations in the context of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022.”
“In the past, wars have been primarily fought physically, with armies, air force and navy operations being the primary forms of combat. However, social media has created a new environment where public opinion can be manipulated at a very large scale.”Co-lead researcher Joshua Watt, MPhil candidate in Applied Mathematics and Statistics from the University of Adelaide’s School of Mathematical Sciences.
Fellow co-lead researcher, Bridget Smart, a Masters student in Applied Mathematics and Statistics, added: “Our research identifies that this is happening during the Russia-Ukraine war and provides a statistical framework which quantifies the extent to which this is happening. This work extends and combines existing techniques to quantify how bots are influencing people in the online conversation around the Russia-Ukraine invasion. It opens up avenues for researchers to understand quantitatively how these malicious campaigns operate, and what makes them impactful. This research has identified that social media organisations may need to be better equipped for detecting and handling the use of bots on their networks. It has identified that governments may need to have stricter policies on social media organisations, and that social media can be a vital tool during conflict.”
The paper titled “#IStandWithPutin versus #IStandWithUkraine: The interaction of bots and humans in discussion of the Russia/Ukraine war” has been published in arXiv and will be presented at The International Conference on Social Informatics in Glasgow from 19-21 October.
Wednesday, October 19, 2022
Ballot Harvesting in Arizona
Posted Oct 20, 2022 by Martin Armstrong
Biden received more votes than any president in US history, but not legally. There is documented evidence of people voting numerous times, and the documentary “2000 Mules” shows exactly how people swung the vote in Biden’s favor. Mail-in ballots changed the 2020 US Presidential Election. No ID was required to vote, forms were sent to deceased Americans, and countless forms mysteriously disappeared in transit.
Arizona was a swing state battleground during the last election. The Office of the Arizona Attorney General is now calling upon the compromised FBI and IRS to investigate the damning documentary as they want it to be labeled a conspiracy theory. They do not want the people to know that our elections were rigged.
Elsewhere in Arizona, a sensible judge is cracking down on ballot harvesting. For the first time in the state’s history, a person has been sentenced for ballot harvesting. Again, no one in the state of Arizona has EVER been charged with this serious act. Guillermina Fuentes, former mayor of the city of San Luis, has been sentenced to 30 days in jail and two years of probation.
Yuma County Superior Court Judge Roger Nelson does not believe Fuentes is remorseful. “The defendant acknowledged responsibility for carrying ballots for someone else however, she stated, ‘I’m not a criminal.’ Well, you are a criminal,” Nelson declared. “You committed a criminal offense. I don’t think you recognize that as a criminal offense. That’s the problem that I have.”
We need more judges like Roger Nelson who are willing to rule in favor of the people. Finally, someone is experiencing the consequences for rigging the 2020 US Presidential Election.
Monday, October 17, 2022
Ukraine was Never a Country until 1991
Posted Oct 17, 2022 by Martin Armstrong
Video Player
Map showing how Borders have Changed over the centuries for which we are to die for
Ukraine was NEVER a country until 1991 east of the river. That is why Bandara joined Hitler’s Nazis, promising they would be allowed to form a nation. Kiev was the origin of the Rus who are the Russians today. I am telling you I know Kyiv very well. They are the MOST corrupt government in the entire world. You cannot deal with them and ever expect the truth. They routinely created false flags, they shot down that Malaysian flight and tried to blame it on Russia.
I have warned from the start – DO NOT SEND ANY MONEY TO UKRAINE. If you want to help the Ukrainian people, give it to the Red Cross. The people will NEVER see a dime.
I do not care if you want to kiss the ground Zelensky walks on. You are just one of those brainwashed souls who cheered the invasion of Iraq because Saddam threatened nuclear war with his hidden weapons of mass destruction that never existed. Iran has them, and nobody invades them. You will believe anything the Neocons will tell you. You obviously lack the ability for independent thinking.
Here we have a nuclear war, and people are cheering it and hating all Russians. Be very careful of what you wish for. Peace seems to be no longer fashionable in this new cancel culture constructed on hate. Elon Musk just saw the real character of Ukraine. They hate Russians and are still ethnic cleansing. So now you would be on the side of Hitler.
The Ukrainians are fighting for the territory that was never theirs. They want Russia out, but they will exterminate all Russians in their territory. The West ignores the fact that the Ukrainians carried out a massacre of ethnic Russian who lived in Odessa. Thanks to John McCain, the US has been funding the civil war against Russian-Ukrainians in the Donbas. Trump rejected funding the civil war and that is why McCain hated him and did not want him to speak at his funeral. I met McCain. He was a vengeful man.
Western Ukrainians simply hate Russians and this goes back to Bandera in World War II. The West was not upset when the Ukrainians were beating Russians on the street in Odessa, chased them into a building, and then burned them to death alive. That was perfectly fine because they were Russian after all.
Not one Western newspaper took the side of any Russian. It has always been Ukraine walks on water and the air. They are leading us into World War III and you will never find a country so embroiled in hatred as Ukraine.
As I have said, two Russian leaders came from the Donbas. Khrushchev even rebuilt Kiev after the war. Yet these people want to claim the Donbas is theirs, eliminate all ethnic Russian Ukrainians, and they have rejected every effort at creating world peace. The Ukrainians have rejected the Minsk Agreement. The pretend leader of Ukraine in high-heels, has called on NATO to launch the first nuclear strike to destroy all of Russia. And this is the guy people in the West cheer? He will destroy the entire world all for his hatred. That qualified him as being UNCIVILIZED.
Tuesday, October 4, 2022
Central Bank QE - USD money supply will have to increase as it becomes the only viable currency
Posted Oct 3, 2022 by Martin ArmstronG
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Nobody knows history better than you. Will QE continue if we end up in war? It seems there would be no choice.
Thank you for your very enlightening blog.
PG
ANSWER: Yes. The Fed was “directed” by the White House to carry out QE during World War II. They were to prevent interest rates from rising and the debt rose. That finally led to the Federal Reserve breaking with the White House after the war when they expected it to continue for the Korean War. That is when the Fed asserted its independence.
This time, we may have a different problem. As the war unfolds in Europe, the capital will flee as usual to the States. But the money supply will have to increase because the dollar will become the only viable currency still standing. That is why you are witnessing the pound and the euro collapse. Things will unfold differently this time. The Fed has been raising rates to fight inflation that will fail because this has to do with shortages – not speculation.
The October 3, 2022 Emergency Meeting was closed to public observation by Order of the Board of Governors because the matters fell under exemption(s) 9(A)(i) of the Government in the Sunshine Act (5 U.S.C. Section 552b(c)), and it was determined that the public interest did not require opening the meeting. That said, the Fed is faced with a triple crisis – liquidity, banking stability, and an inevitable Sovereign Debt Crisis. As interest rates have risen based on domestic inflation rates, simultaneously, the higher rates have undermined both European banks as well as Emerging Markets. The Federal Reserve has become the DEFACTO central bank of the world.
This is a crisis similar in part to 1927 when the European central banks lobbied the Fed to lower rates because of their debt crisis. They lowered rates to accommodate Europe and that was then blamed on the Fed for creating the 1929 boom. This is also why FDR then seized control of the Federal Reserve and move the head to Washington and made the Chairman subservient to the President.
I know so many blame the Fed for everything. They are actually facilitating Congress. The Fed has no control over fiscal spending or the debt level. In the end, it is really the debt that has become the money supply that simply pays interest.
There was no US paper money before the Civil War. The first issues of paper money were actually a hybrid bond – they paid interest. The term “greenback” developed for “demand notes” that came later as the cost of the war rose. They no longer paid interest so what was on the back was just green ink – no interest rate table to show what the note was worth.
I will be doing a full report on this subject for the WEC. It is complex, yet exceptionally interesting for what we face.
Bonds & the Fate of the Future - 2025
Posted Oct 3, 2022 by Martin Armstrong
The 30-year bond elected a major long-term Quarter Bearish Reversal on target. This confirms the long-term outlook that we had warned back at the high that we were establishing a 5,000-year low in rates (high in bond prices). The sell signals on bonds at the end of September are very profound. This is also why you have witnessed Klaus Schwab telling everyone you will own nothing and be happy because what he is really saying is that all debt will be wiped out trying to make it sound like they are doing this for you when it is the next sovereign debt default in history.
The last Sovereign Debt Default was 1931 when Europe, South America, and Asia defaulted. Even Britain went into a moratorium on debt payments. Our models turned up on this level in March 2021 and the next Sovereign Debt Default on a grand scale is likely to unfold by 2025.
The Quarterly closing was a confirmation that we are looking at both a liquidity crisis in addition to a banking crisis that is most likely with an epic center in Europe.
Here is the Yearly Chart from 1798 to 2015 that we published back in 2016. The peak came precisely during the 1st Quarter of 2020 with the major turning point on the ECM 2020.05 reaching 191.69 on the 30-year bond. We will be focusing on this triple crisis of liquidity, banking, and Sovereign Debt Crisis at the WEC on November 11-13th, 2022.
As I have said many times, what bottoms or peaks with the ECM major turning points is typically very profound. That has been vindicated once against by the bond market peaking the first quarter of 2020 with the turning point. We have entered the STAGFLATION mode since March 14th as we head into April 2023.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)