Brexit Day Has Arrived!

Posted Jan 31, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

Welcome to Brexit Day! The British Mint is issuing a new 50 pence coin to mark leaving the EU at last. High-profile figures are already pledging to boycott the new coin. Alastair Campbell will boycott the coin because the slogan opposes his core beliefs. Philip Pullman will as well because, he says, it is missing an Oxford comma. These two people reflect the decline and fall of democracy. They simply refuse to accept the majority vote.

Of course, those who were in the “Remain” camp used every foul label they could find in the Oxford dictionary to desperately dehumanize those who voted to leave. The main label that stuck was to call them “racists” when the immigrants pouring from Merkel’s fatal mistake were claiming to be Muslim, which is a religion and not a race.

The “Remain” camp was even striking their own coins and selling them on eBay. These show the Queen holding her head when in fact the behind-the-curtain view was that she very much agreed with getting out of the EU.

Theresa May was a career politician who personally wanted to REMAIN. She negotiated half-heartedly and that was reflected in her abysmal management of the government.

The most interesting aspect to demonstrate just how corrupt the politicians were in Britain who kept arguing to REMAIN was the fact that they were supporting their personal power and careers. All someone had to do was chart the government’s own statistics that proved Britain’s economic growth has declined ever since Britain joined the EU back in 1973. The continental Europeans in government have always resented the British, for without them they would be speaking German today. That has always left a resentful taste in their mouths. It’s kind of like how they say the best way to get rid of a friend is to lend them money.

There will always be that resentment toward Britain. The French demanded that no EU member should issue coins that commemorated the defeat of Napoleon. There was a commemorative issue of coins, but they were not allowed to circulate pursuant to the demand of the French to join the euro. Resentments linger in Europe and always will. It is ingrained within the culture of so many hundreds of years of conflicts and war. The creation of the euro will never change history

The Euro v Pound - The critical level will still remain at the 8250 level.

Posted Jan 31, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

Despite all the yelling and threats on top of forecasts that Britain will fall apart without the EU, the markets do not reflect such a doomsday outlook. We do see 2021 and 2023 as important targets for turning points. The critical level will still remain at the 8250 level. If that is breached, then the political crisis in the EU will begin. The departure of Britain will leave a major hole in the budget of the EU which wants to fund its own army. As pressure rises on other members to chip in more money and raise taxes on their citizens even further, the European Project will remain a serious threat to the entire world economy.

Congress Requests Google to End Free Speech

Posted Jan 30, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

Congress Letter to Google

Katherine Anne Castor who is the Democrat from the 14th district in Florida who is an attorney who apparently became a politician because she has difficulty with understanding the First Amendment Freedom of Speech has amazingly sent a letter to the head of Google asking him to violate the First Amendment and asked him to effectively remove any YouTube that disagrees with her desired narrative on Climate Change.

This is how oppression begins. The government seeks to suppress the right to disagree with their agenda. What is next? She asks to eliminate the Republican Party and just more to a full dictatorship? She is a disgrace to any political party and being a lawyer no less she has no excuse to pretend she has no idea the implications of her letter.

“YouTube has been driving millions of viewers to climate misinformation videos every day, a shocking revelation that runs contrary to Google’s important missions of fighting misinformation and promoting climate action,” wrote Kathy Castor, chair of the committee.′ “Last September, you proudly declared that ‘sustainability has become one of Google’s core values from our earliest days,’ and announced ‘the biggest corporate purchase of renewable energy in history.’”

Ukraine & the Obama/Biden Grip on Corruption that Was a Silent Counter-Revolution

Posted Jan 30, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Hi Mr Armstrong,
I so much appreciate your lifetime of work and dedication to the Truth. I really appreciate so much your history lessons and deep connected objective lessons into the cumulative interconnecting web of this world we live in.

I ask a large favor .

Could you explain some Ukrainian History and in particular go into the modern history of the economic war with Russia and the US Deep state and explain how the Biden’s , Obama and the Clinton criminal machine along with the entire corrupt web of scum have and continue to infect Ukraine and how you and socrates see the future for Ukraine and our region, please .

So many of our people have been killed, murdered, mutilated, tutored . Very few Americans have even a faintest idea what life is like to just survive here . Suicides everyday.
I would love to somehow expose the Biden’s , Clinton crime family and all those criminal psychopaths.

Our entire one beautiful culture has been forever destroyed by the American MIC . Out men have been destroyed , our best killed, and all that is left is alcoholism !! and now psychopathic old men from America, from Britain come here to use our women as prostitutes !!!

I cry for my country , BUT there is NO justice as America continues to kill millions of our people with their greed, their assassination teams!!. ALL in the name of GREED.
Even in America we see the destruction of the USA.

But at least our people here in Ukraine have morals and a strong spirit as we fight for our freedom .

You Americans (not you Mr. Armstrong, as you are a true Hero and a man of absolute moral fibre and deep honor !!) , but most Americans we see as naive, nascent but worse they are cowards .

Thank you Mr. Armstrong for being the rarest man of honor

ANSWER: I have personal friends in Ukraine. I heard back in 2013 that Ukraine would be an important country to watch and that has not changed as we can see with Trump’s impeachment. I was providing advice with respect to the revolution and explained that the key to success was to divide the government. Yanukovich was using Russians and East Ukrainian Russian thugs as riot police in Kyiv. I explained that they had to get the local police to turn against the imported police. Once they accomplished that, the revolution would see victory. I had personal friends there on the barricades and I knew others administering medical attention to the injured. Even my mother was concerned because she had come to know some of them as well.

I had personal friends who took pictures with Russian soldiers inside Ukraine before anyone knew they were even there. They asked if they were there to protect them, and they responded yes. They asked if they could take their photo with them and they said of course. I clipped the photo to protect my sources.

I believe the disinformation campaign began with the vast majority of pundits claiming the revolution was all orchestrated by the CIA. That was a cover-up so people would not look at the corruption of Obama/Biden and their effort to seize Ukraine. What was really taking place was the threats that if Obama’s/Biden’s handpicked successors were overthrown by the people again, that they would be on their own and the West would not protect them from the Russians.

I know it was not a CIA plot. They are not that good. This was a legitimate uprising for I was talking directly with my contacts in Kyiv.

The government that Obama/Biden stuffed into Ukraine was one that was simply willing to switch sides to the highest bidder. Many were simply the very same people who supported Yanukovich. Biden’s level of corruption is off the charts. It has directly infected Ukraine and has done far more damage by preventing the Ukrainian revolution from accomplishing its goal. Unfortunately, the politics in America is so divided that the Democrats will protect the Biden corruption machine, which is just a twin to that of the Clinton’s.

CNN will NEVER publish the truth about Ukraine or the Democrats. It is no longer a news operation, it has become a propaganda machine that and should be embarrassed to support. One has to wonder why AT&T has become so subversive threatening the image of America internationally and fueling the deepening division in America that will undermine the entire country long-term.

Anyone who dares to try to speak out about Biden and Ukraine in America is immediately attacked. If the Justice Department investigated Biden and his family, the Democrats would call it interfering with the 2020 election.

I believe you will see another uprising in 2022 where perhaps, at last, you will be able to overthrow the corruption supported by the Obama/Biden oligarchy machine. I am sorry that the media in America has become part of the corruption that oppresses your country. In Ukraine, the Obama/Biden grip on corruption was a silent counter-revolution that prevented Ukraine from achieving its freedom.

Coronavirus still appears to be Normal Virus

Posted Jan 27, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Thank you for not being the crazy doomsday guy who latches onto every story and then blows it out of proportion. The death rate is as you say, less than 3%. All the wild stories from nurses claiming there 90,000 infected to others trying to claim the death rate will rise to 10% or higher. These just scare tactics from the same people who always claim the end of the world is next week.

BE

ANSWER: The number of cases is up to 2,794 and the reported deaths at 80. The incubation period for this coronavirus is about 14 days. The incubation periods for the last two coronaviruses SARS and MERS, was 2 to 7 days and about 5 days, respectively, according to the CDC.

The duration might be 2 to 3 weeks before you recover fully, but that’s pretty much on par with most flu epidemics. There is absolutely no indication that this is a biological weapon. Had it been, China would NEVER have shared the genetic code. We still see the worst season with 4 different models converging on 2022.

I have pretty good sources and they do not expect this to cause a lot of deaths. As of January 24th, U.S. officials have screened more than 2,000 people from about 200 flights in the active entry screening program which is underway at five U.S. airports. There have been no cases identified as part of the program. China has halted ALL flights out of Wuhan, quarantined the entire city, and canceled major Lunar New Year celebrations.

I wish the world was ending next week. I am tired of paying outrageous taxes. It would be nice to migrate to a different plane of existence. Hopefully, they don’t have corrupt governments, regulations, and taxes there

Northwoods & Cycle of War

Posted Jan 27, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

This particular Cycle of War is the combination of two models: 1) international war, and 2) domestic civil unrest. This is the first time these two models have coincided in the same time slot for about 300 years. We should expect a rise in civil unrest going into 2022, but the international war cycle is targeting 2032. We are witnessing a sharp intense rise in civil unrest on a global scale. This is what we should be most concerned about, for this is what leads to separatist movements and in many cases civil war.

I will update the Cycle of War in 2020.

Coronavirus still appears to be Normal Virus – Not a Biological Weapon

Posted Jan 26, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

The latest number of the number of people infected is at least 1,975 people of which this Coronavirus has killed 56 people, according to that nation’s National Health Commission.  That puts the death rate at about 2.8% or less which is within the normal range of the viral season. There is still no indication that this is anything out of the ordinary that would point to a biological weapon leak. A case has appeared now in California of a person who just returned from Wuhan. This is not a virus that you would get by simply going to the movies and someone in there has it. There has to be some contact with them sneezing on you or you have touched the surface of something that they have touched.

Our model still points to 2022. Perhaps this is Phase I.

Search for Religion in the 1860s

Posted Jan 23, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: Concerning the post today of the “Decline and Fall of Religion?”
I nearly fell out of my seat when you mentioned 1860 as a cyclic date. You mentioned the US Civil War. However, you may not be aware of the Baha’i faith which started in the early 1860’s with the prophet Bahá’u’lláh in Iran. The specific date depends on the source but the consensus is the early 1860’s.

While the Baha’i faith does not have the greatest number of total members, it is globally the second widest spread, and their books have been translated into more languages than the Christian Faith. According to the Baha’i’s, their prophet, Bahá’u’lláh, was prophesied to present himself in the 1860’s as was written in the books of the Zoroastrians, Hindu, Old Testament, and Koran.

One very interesting aspect of the religion is that Bahá’u’lláh claimed that the growth of humanity had progressed well enough that there would be no need for an ordained priesthood anymore. He also proclaimed that all major wars and turmoil that has been brought on humanity have been caused by priests and politicians. Therefore, in the Baha’i faith, there is no organized priesthood permitted and no members are allowed to become elected politicians.

They select their representatives from the intimacy of their small groups that meet in their own homes. These selected individuals then meet regionally and select their regional representatives. Ultimately, their global representatives are selected to serve for defined terms with only a modest food and housing allowance. No campaigning by individuals is allowed during the selection process. It becomes an obligatory duty for the length of the term. In other words, the selected individuals will ask themselves “Why me?”

I can just imagine the potentials for any government if local everyday individuals were selected in this manner to lead their regions and nations with obligatory defined term lengths. What a day for humanity when the selected president will ask themself the question “Why me?” rather than “Why not me?”

REPLY: Yes, the Baháʼí Faith began in Iran as was the case with the Zorasters. The Baháʼí Faith was established around 1863 and spread to various parts of the Middle East. It has been subjected to ongoing persecution ever since its inception. It is a small religion that is estimated to have between 5 and 8 million followers.

The 1860s was a major turning point in religion. There was even the birth of the Christian Methodist Episcopal Church during this time period. The Seventh-day Adventist Church also began in 1863 and this is when the Jehovah’s Witnesses also began about 1870. The following decade saw initial movements that began during the 1860s take shape formally creating the Theosophical Society (Eastern Theosophy) by 1875, Ethical Culture in 1877, and the Church of Christ, Scientist (Christian Science) by 1879. It was a major period of a search for new religions.

Of course, it was religion and the objection to slavery that led to the American Civil War. The 1860s was a major turning point in religion.

Rogoff’s Global Carbon Tax – Give the Money to China

Posted Jan 23, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; What do you think about Harvard Professor Kenneth Rogoff who advocates a global carbon tax and then takes that money and hand it to China to subsidize them ending coal to generated electricity?

I think he has lost his mind.

HC

ANSWER: This is why major institutions have ZERO respect for academics. They have no concept of the real economy because they have never had to actually roll up their sleeves and deal with a crisis. They have never seen firsthand how capital actually moves. They also see people as an endless source of taxes. Just unbelievable.

Climate change

When You Thought You Hit A Dog

Posted Jan 23, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: You are wrong as usual. We just had the hottest decade. This is all about fossil fuels. There was never a CO2 problem until fossil fuels.

KJ

ANSWER: This entire climate change is nonsense! The first clean air act was passed by the Emperor Justinian. Humans have burned wood long before coal. Perhaps you slept through science class, but burning wood produces CO2. This nonsense that the climate has changed ONLY because of humans is ridiculous. They used fake data only since 1850, refuse to discuss the climate cycles pre-1850, and they fail to address the fact that we were coming out of the Little Ice Age for 200 years before the invention of automobiles and a 100 years before they invented trains.

Believe what you want to believe, but you are a victim of organized propaganda. You go right ahead and destroy Western society, lose your job, and live without heat or air conditioning. I will move to Asia where this nonsense is being rejected. And by the way, 1934 remains the hottest year on record with 1998 being number two.

There just so happens to be a 43-year cycle. The year 1934 was a major cycle inversion and remains the record high. Then 43 years later, 1977, that was the Deep Freeze where it snowed in Miami and they were talking about climate change back then too. Again, 43 years later and it is back to the 40s in Miami and there are warnings about falling iguanas because it gets so cold they are still alive but pass out.

You people are taking credit for everything. The Australian fires and California droughts are all because of CO2. I hate to tell you that just because the press only want to sell newspapers they are willing to print your garbage do you even have people talking about this nonsense. There have been droughts in California that have lasted more than 200 years!

The co-founder of Extinction Rebellion, Roger Hallam, in his Common Sense for the 21st Century, claims mass disruption, mass arrests, and mass sacrifice are necessary to prevent extinction. He calls for acts of civil disobedience, bypass political theory, and urges people to rise up to a revolution against society. He calls for the confiscation of private property. Your spokesperson is an outright communist. Nothing he has put forth proves anything. (see Spiegel, November 22, 2019)

So what you are saying is the Little Ice Age should be the norm and all this warming is because of fossil fuels? Enjoy yourself. Give up your car. Do not heat or air condition your home. If you cannot walk or ride a bike to work, quit! And how dare you use electricity to send me an email. If you want to be a climate activist, then adapt what you are yelling about instead of blaming everyone, of course, except yourself

Interest Rates and the Great Global Crisis

Posted Jan 22, 2020 by Martin Armstrong

COMMENT: I attended your 2016 WEC and I thought you would be wrong that interest rates would rise and the whole big bang thing. Rates have risen only in the US, the pension crisis is clearly unfolding, and states have been going bust. Now there is the Repo Crisis and I did buy the report. I will return to the WEC this year. I realize that you are able to forecast long-term trends that nobody else can even see.  Here in Australia, my God, it seems like the government has become occupied by Nazis who were also hunting money.

Good on ya!

PD

REPLY: Yes, most people have no idea that Hitler had passed similar laws that made it illegal to have a bank account outside the country. That prompted Switzerland to adopt its secrecy laws. Western governments are doing exactly as Hitler did. Oh yes, he killed a lot of Jews and others. But make no mistake about it, that was not just hatred. It was profitable. Hitler confiscated all their assets and then harvested even the gold in their teeth.

Just scan history and you will see a pattern. Henry VII created the Church of England but confiscated all the assets of the Catholic Church. Constantine the Great adopted Christianity as the major religion and then confiscated the assets of the pagan temples. The only leader who confiscated assets of the Church without pretending he was adopting another religion was Napoleon. The Spanish Inquisition persecuted people, including the Jews and Arabs. but that was also profitable for they confiscated their assets.

The rule of law in England at the time of the American Revolution had 240 felonies. The penalty was death so there too the king confiscated all your assets and threw your family out on the street. Just follow the money. Now they call it criminal to hide money from the government. It is money laundering to put cash in a safe deposit box — read the fine print — it can be confiscated. The criminal law is far too often used for the financial gain of the state.

As everyone knows, I turned out to be an institutional adviser. Consequently, the model that I developed had to be able to forecast the trend of all time levels. It was critical to be able to provide a reliable forecast out for 10 years when truly planning strategy for multinational corporations. That is why we had over $2.5 trillion under contract when the US national debt was just $6 trillion. We were by far the largest international adviser in the world.

The disparity in the rates between the USA and those in Japan and Europe are all part of the crisis in both liquidity as well as international banking. The vast majority of derivatives out there are interest rate related. Europe has a major major major problem. An uptick in interest rates will be devastating in so many ways. It will not only cause major losses for the ECB portfolio of bonds with over $12 trillion in negative-yielding bonds, but then you have the derivatives market.

On top of that, to make derivatives safer, after 2007 that insisted that they all had to go through a  central counter-party clearing house (CCP)  agent. As you can see, the 2018 annual report showed that Deutsche Bank also acts as a CCP to which it guarantees another 21.6 trillion Euros of exposure.

This experiment with negative interest rates has created a nightmare from which we are desperately afraid to wake up because it could be very real.