Maya will reclaim their independence and that may come by 2029

Mexico & the 112 Year Cycle

Posted Mar 21, 2018 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION: Dear Martin

As usual, I have no words to thank the sincere and incomparable work that you did for us, and almost for free. People like you should be a reference for future generations. You really are a Punk, in the best sense of the word [anti-autoritaritharism, DIY, direct action..].

I’m writing you because the last events in Spain are terrifying me.
You were writing a lot about it when the Catalonian Issue happened. I did not support it because it is creating strong division among the population for a bargain, and the leaders were (as demonstrated now) completely fake.

However, let me enumerate the latest news:

– A Satiric magazine publishes a picture of a bullfighter with an ‘alien’ body and is fined with 40keur.
– A rap singer is going to jail for 2.5 years for criticizing the power and political classes in a song.
– In a national art expo a picture showing catalan politicians in jail is banned.
– A book explaining with names demonstrated cases of contacts of politicians in Galicia with narcos has been forbidden.

All this in the last 1.5 months

Uncountable cases of journalists fired from TVE (Spanish public television) for giving a different point of view as stated by the gov.

I live in Switzerland and I love my country but I’m afraid that I will not be back soon because of the high taxes and all these issues. However, Switzerland is not a better case. The police control is really intense also here.

I use to go to Mexico very often, and besides the critical situation, I work with really intelligent and courageous people.

Sometimes I’m thinking in abandon Europe and going to Mexico. I would like to think that they are bottoming and they will take off soon.

What do you think, cyclically speaking?

Sorry for such a lo email, and thank you very much again.

Sincere Salutations

Francisco

ANSWER: The next major upheaval in Mexico appears to be on schedule for around 2029. There is a 112-year cycle perfectly in sync with the 224-year Cycle of Political Change. Nevertheless, Europe probably faces a greater risk of political upheaval than what you will see in North America. There are separatist movements everywhere from Canada and USA down into Mexico. Most people do not realize that Greenland is geographically part of North America, but is politically connected to Europe and here too there is a separatist movement to split from Europe.

We rarely hear about the internal struggle for independence within Mexico. I have visited the areaChiapas and engaged in political discussions to seek a better understanding of the issues. This is the home of the ancient Maya. Effectively, this is the home to one of the largest indigenous populations in the country with twelve federally recognized ethnicities. What was explained to me is very interesting. When the Spanis came to South America, they were interested in the lands of gold. Since there was no famed gold in that region, the Spanish never invaded that part. Therefore, you still have the indigenous Maya living there and you can distinctly tell the difference just looking at them. I was told that marriages are normally arranged by parents and Maya marry only Maya.

The Zapatista Army of National Liberation, commonly known as Zapatistas, has been a left-wing revolutionary political and militant group based in Chiapas. This is the southernmost state of Mexico. They are an armed group, formed by a large majority of Southern Mexican natives in Chiapas, who rebelled in 1994 claiming their territory in what has been called the “war against the forgotten” by the Zapatistas.

Once again, we have a line of demarcation between ethnic differences that even include language. Therefore, the position I explained about Catalonia falls in a distinct global trend. Catalonia also is distinct and have their own language. We see the same trend in Ukraine – east v west based upon ethnic differences and language. Politicians may view their countries as fiefdoms, but society moves through a grand cycle like Big Bang and the universe, There is a central point altogether and an event takes place and everything separates and moves apart. Then, gravity will overtake the movement and pull it all back inward to a central core. This is how human society has always worked throughout history. There are the separate states that they ban together typically against a foreign enemy, and then there is a union and a larger consolidated state. This pattern is true for the United States, Canada, Mexico and it has been the ides behind the European Project to federalize Europe.

The Delian League (or Athenian League) was an alliance of Greek city-states led by Athens and formed in 478 BC to liberate eastern Greek cities from Persian rule. It was to also be a defense against any possible revenge attacks from Persia after the Greek victories at Marathon, Salamis, and Plataea in the early 5th century BC. This unification of Greek city-states under Athenian rule led to resentment and finally the Peloponnesian war where Athens was defeated by Sparta and rebelling Delian League members. The number of members of the League changed over time but around 330 are recorded in tribute lists who had to pay into the central treasury much like the EU structure today. Initially, members swore to hold the same enemies and allies by taking an oath.

The actions we saw with Spain invading Catalonia were the very same reactions that Athens took against Naxos who sought to leave the Delian League in 467BC when it became obvious that the purposed to defend against the Persians no longer made sense. The League and its requirement of tribute/taxes was a major factor behind separatist movements. An example of the refusal to relinquish power can be seen when Naxos who sought to secede around 467 BC. Athens responded in dramatic fashion by attacking the island and making it a semi-dependency, albeit with a lower tribute.

I have stated many times that History is a roadmap to the future because the human response will ALWAYS be the same given the same set of circumstances. Therefore, Mexico will also split and the indigenous Maya will reclaim their independence and that may come by 2029. The Mexican Revolution began in 1910 led by Emiliano Zapata. Then in 1911, President Porfirio Diaz, who ruled as a dictator for 35 years, was overthrown and replaced with revolutionary Francisco Madero. The last major event was the adoption of the Constitution in 1917

Mexico recover from this political mismanagement? appears to be due in 22 years — 2038

From Behind the Wall – Mexico

Posted Jan 20, 2017 by Martin Armstrong

US-Mexico Border in Arizona

COMMENT: Greetings from the other side of the Wall (i.e. Mexico)

Mr Armstrong! First, I would like to thank you for what you do, as a young person committed with helping the world thrive I cannot tell you how empowering it was to discover your work and get to know your story, and how inspiring it is to see upright people like yourself and your team take on the biggest challenges we face today as a planet, being consistent with what you say and actually doing something! That been said I wanted to share something that’s happening here in Mexico City, and because it is related to one of the main topics of your blog, i.e. the hunt for taxes I thought it would be worth sharing. Right now, Mexico City is going through some administrative changes. Beginning in 2018 Mexico D.F. (D.F. stands for Federal District) will no longer be the center of the powers of the federation but the 32nd federal entity of the union. That doesn’t only mean that Mexico D.F. will officially change its name to Ciudad de Mexico (CDMX) but that by the end of this month (January, 2017) CDMX will have its own Constitution. It is here that it gets interesting. In its 21st article, the draft proposed that “the increase in the value of the land derived from the process of urbanization, will be considered part of the public wealth of the city” that effectively meant that all the capital gains of a property will be taxed!! This resulted in a strong opposition specially from groups, associations and businesses concerned with the real estate business. The mayor of the city, surprised and pressured, answered that he would veto any new tax that comes into his desk and proposed an immediate modification of this article, which makes you wonder if he read the draft of the constitution in the first place! After the announcement, the commission in charge of the ruling of that article said it would be revised and modified so that a tax of this nature would not be allowed.

Fiufff!! That was close and everybody went home or headed out to the beach for some sunny winter holidays. Oh wait, except that our “public servants” being the way they are, apparently removed the provision from the draft of the constitution but still added it to the Housing Act which authorizes the administration to “implement mechanisms to capture capital gains, generated form urban development actions”. The Act was passed a nd approved the 26th of December!! The press reported this until the 28th which in Mexico is our April fool’s day, making us wish it was a terrible “December fool’s day” joke. I guess you have to have a sense of humour. I mean this guys are relentless when it comes to making a dishonest buck. I don’t know what Socrates says about Mexico but from my biased point of view it doesn’t look pretty. Higher prices, higher taxes, insecurity, a higher dollar, a debt worth almost 50% of GDP and growing, which at least I think it’s in pesos so I guess it could be worse. I was not alive then but there was a time when the peso fell greatly against the dollar maybe Mexico’s cycle is back down but I’m sure you know that. But there was also a time when the peso was close at par with the dollar, which makes me wonder when does the cycle turn up. Anyway, I guess by that time it’s either a strong peso or a worthless dollar!

Again, thank you and your team for all your work. Have a wonderful and spectacular year!

XA

REPLY: Hello from the other side of the wall. Most people do not realize that the Mexican 8 reales silver coin was commonly known as the “pillar dollar,” and cutting it up into pieces like a pie is what we hear in pirate moves — a piece of eight, meaning a piece of this coin. Here is a piece of eight stamped “St Lucia” for a Caribbean island.

These pillar dollars or Spanish dollars as they were known, were widely used by many countries as an international currency in modern times because of its uniformity. Some countries countersigned the Spanish dollar so it could be used as their local currency, as did even Britain during the shortage of currency under George III. In fact, these pillar/Spanish dollars were the coin upon which they originally constituted the United States “dollar” as they refused to adopt the British system of pounds. In fact, pillar/Spanish dollars were actually considered to be legal tender in the United States up until the Coinage Act of 1857.

Most people have no idea that the Mexican peso (8 reales ceased to be issued in 1897 after it was replaced by the peso) was on par with the dollar, and in fact, the US dollar was based upon the peso. The debasement of the 8 reales (peso) began slightly in 1729 when it was reduced to .7972 of a troy ounce down from .8102. It was debased slightly again in 1772, dropping to .7858 oz followed by another slight debasement to .7797 in 1791.

It was restored back to .7859 oz in 1811 where it remained until the 8 reales was called the peso with .786 oz. It returned to .7859 oz in 1910, which lasted only until 1917. As silver rose in value during the Panic of 1919, and European demand rose for reestablishing a monetary system, the Peso was sharply debased to .4663 oz before it dropped further two years later in 1920 to .3857 oz where it remained until the end of World War II.

In 1947, the peso was debased to .2251 oz and then the financial crisis of 1949, which saw the sharp collapse in the British pound, impacted the peso by dropping it further to .1286 oz in 1950. The crisis hit again in 1957, and the peso was debased to .0514 oz where it remained until 1967. The rising US dollar postwar was critical worldwide and Mexico was not exempt. That was the Recession of 1958, also known as the Eisenhower Recession, which began in 1957 and lasted for eight months. That led to a sharp worldwide economic downturn in 1958, aided by the Fed raising interest rates to try to fight postwar inflation. Then in 1967, silver vanished from the monetary system with the birth of the two-tier gold market in London during 1968.

The answer to the question, “When will Mexico recover from this political mismanagement?” appears to be due in 22 years — 2038. This is most likely reflecting the younger generation really taking charge.