Showing posts with label Devaluation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Devaluation. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 2, 2014

Russian devaluation

Can Money Just be Devalued Creating Deflation as a Solution?

Chervonetz
QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong; Is it possible that governments devalue currencies to confiscate capital like taxes? It really does not seem likely that these people have any intention of moving into hyperinflation. They are increasing money supply but at a slower rate than the destructive deflation. It clearly appears governments are in a confiscation mode and it looks like they can just half the value of your money rather than inflate to cover costs. Has anyone taken that approach in history before?
Thank you ever so much. I really enjoyed the movie. It was a mind shocking experience. It is one of those films you have to see twice. The question and answer session was tremendous. The whole audience seemed to want to know where to put their money now.
GK
ANSWER: Yes, Amsterdam was awesome. Putting me on the nightly news I was told was very impressive. It just illustrated how on point this topic truly is. The more people who see this film the harder it will be for them to pull the wool-over everyone’s eyes.
The answer to your question concerning devaluation is ABSOLUTELY. There is more than just one way to skin a cat as they say. Roosevelt confiscated gold and then devalued the dollar to prevent people from profiting from the rise in gold from $20 to $35. In fact, the last time the confiscation approach took place aside from Roosevelt was immediately following World War II.
1917 5 ruble RU-35a
The Soviet government first issued a ruble after the revolution in 1917 (see above). They too went through hyperinflation and in 1922 they issued the second ruble that replaced the 1917 ruble at 10,000 to one. Why would people buy bonds of a nation that was anti-capitalist? At the same time as the German hyperinflation also caused by a communist revolution, we see the mirror hyperinflation within Russia. The next year they issued the third ruble valued at 100 to one of the 1922 ruble. The fourth ruble was issued in 1924 and this was a gold ruble valued now at 50,000 old rubles.
In 1947, Russia changed course from hyperinflation to confiscation. This new approach was implemented with a confiscatory re-denomination of the currency, which was decreed on December 14, 1947. The purpose was to reduce the amount of money in circulation. The main purpose of this change was to prevent peasants who had accumulated cash by selling food at wartime prices from using this to buy consumer goods as the postwar recovery took hold. Even under communism, raw commodities could not be fully controlled especially during periods of war.
Old rubles were revalued at one tenth of their face value. This mainly affected paper money in the hands of private individuals. Amounts of 3,000 rubles or less in individual bank accounts were not revalued, while salaries remained the same. This is very similar to IMF proposals that accounts under €100,000 would not be confiscated in their original proposed bail-in. Now, they seem to have moved toward an across the board confiscation.
G20-Australia-Nov 15-16
The proposal at the G20 is to take cash from accounts to cover losses in banks. This is the very same proposal imposed by the Communists in Russia – just have to get those capitalists. This is why I have been warning we are in the last death throes of Socialism. Those at the helm will make the very same decisions as those in Communism. Nothing ever changes. The same solution is always reached independently by those in power. Nobody ever asks – has anyone tried this before? Did it work?

Thursday, July 31, 2014

Currency Devaluation and impact on other assets

Argentina Defaults – Assets Rise?


ARGSTK-M 7-20-2014

Argentina is moving into default and they could trigger bondholder claims between $25 to $30 billion. This is an amount equal to all its foreign-currency reserves. True,  if overdue interest on Argentina’s dollar-denominated debt due 2033 is not paid by July 30, then provisions in bonds known as cross-default clauses would allow the nation’s other debt holders to also demand their money back immediately.

So why has the Argentine stock market been blasting upward for the last 25 months? This is a classic capital response that is precisely the same that is argued for a hyperinflation. If a country defaults, its currency declines. However, domestically, tangible assets rise for everything advances under such a scenario. Those who think capital is wrong just do not understand capital flows. This is the eternal battle between PUBLIC and PRIVATE assets being displayed for all to see.

ARGFOR-M 7-20-2014

Here too we are seeing November as a very critical turning point. This is showing up in absolutely every market around the world. This is how money really moves. If you think this is dumb, well you better go back to school.

Dow-GreatDepression

The entire devaluation of the dollar by FDR in 1933 produced the same result. As the currency declined assets rise. FDR’s Brains Trust disagreed. FDR listened to George Warren and noticed that Britain recovered when then defaulted on their debt in 1931. So pay attention. International law may mean nothing at the end of the day because Argentina will not be alone.

This is that international value that comes into play how everyone vies assets in terms of their own sense of values expressed in their home currency. I will try to put books to together on how capital really moves under these various conditions. Just have to find someone interested in this subject and a good editor to put help bring this all together. I have so many projects and limited amount of time. But yes – this is something on my wish list to get accomplished.