Macron & the April 10th Election

 

Posted Apr 6, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

On April 10, the election in France will take place, and Macron is ahead for now with 27% of the vote. But Macron has been using his position as the European Union bloc’s president for six months. Macron has cleverly used this position as a powerbase toward a reelection bid by not merely pushing for a strong EU government, and surrendering French sovereignty to Brussels, but he has been using the Ukrainian crisis to justify his return to power.

Macron’s remarks have been closely watched at home as he is strategically using his EU position to win reelection. Macron has stated that he wants to add changes to the charter of fundamental rights of the European Union to make it “more explicit about environment protection and the recognition of the right to abortion” in an effort to “breathe new life” in Europe’s democratic values. He is also pitching a minimum wage or a “decent” minimum salary across the EU bloc and moving on reducing “inequalities” by fighting discrimination, which is the pitch of the World Economic Forum as to WHY a Great Reset is needed.

Macron has also said it’s time for the EU to “take action” to meet its environmental ambitions, including the bloc’s commitment to reach climate neutrality by 2050. That too is from the World Economic Forum agenda.

Macron also called on the EU to quickly draw up a new security plan to ease tensions with Russia. Many have seen Macron as using his position not to promote EU policies, but to boost his candidacy rather than caring about EU issues. Most of the opposition has pointed out his failure with dealing with the massive migration into Europe. He had 5 years to deal with that and has done nothing.

 

For now, Macron is basking in the limelight of Zelensky and the threat of Putin to Europe. But our model shows that this will be the last president to be elected in the Fifth Republic of France. Jacques Chirac (1932–2019) was elected in 1995 initially as a Gaullist, but he turned Neo-Gaullist, and thus the slippery slope of France began. We will see a new government emerge by 2030. The risk of a European war will be at its peak in 2027. There will be NO return to normal!

Remember, Rome lasted for 1,000 years, but it collapsed in just 8.6 years.

8.6-years from the time Biden took office will be 2029.65 (August 25th, 2029).

 

Is Biden also a War Criminal Bringing Civilization to a Complete Collapse?

Posted Apr 6, 2022 by Martin Armstrong

Biden has declared that “major war crimes” are now being discovered in Ukraine as Russian forces retreat from areas around Kyiv. In a total propaganda move where he just takes whatever Zelensky says at face value who is a puppet intended to create World War III because the ability of government to continue to function under Keynesian Economics is coming to an end. On top of that, Biden is desperate to change the focus from his own corruption and that of Hunter Biden hoping to change the topic. Biden is denying any independent investigation just taking the word of Zelensky who has done NOTHING but tried to create war with Russia refusing to comply with the 1991 Belgrade Agreement of Neutrality and the Minsk Agreement which was to allow the Donbas to vote on their own independence.

Biden has set in motion World War III calling Putin a war criminal which by the same standards would have applied to every president during times of war. The US has refused to address all the claims of war crimes in Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria, Lybia, etc. The US admitted to killing civilians in Kabul in a drone attack. Who is responsible for that war crime? Under Biden’s definition, he himself is also a war criminal for Kabul. That too was a brutal, cold-blooded execution-style but the US is exempt from being tried in the ICC for the US refuses to be judged for war crimes in the Netherlands.

Biden’s rationale for ratcheting up US sanctions on Moscow now targeting Putin’s daughters is outrageous. Biden said: “Responsible nations have to come together to hold these perpetrators accountable.” Biden has further increased sanctions targeting Putin’s two adult daughters. Why are they responsible for this?

Biden has DESTROYED the world economy and abused the SWIFT system that has shown it is now not independent but just a political tool. China would be absolutely braindead at this point if it did NOT set up its alternative to SWIFT. More and more countries are starting to side with Russia. Even India has seen its action of Biden as totally reckless. Biden’s constant expanding sanctions have cut off Russia entirely just as FDR did to Japan. If history repeats, I would NOT live in Washington, LA, Chicago, or New York. They can be taken out with supersonic nukes and there is nothing Biden can do to stop it. He needs to be removed from the office. Every administration has sought world peace. Biden seeks ONLY war.

There will NEVER be a return to NORMAL and only a madman would act like Biden deliberately destroying international relations that took decades to establish. You will not cause Putin to recoil, and any regime change will only lead to people behind Putin who are FAR more Neocon than Putin.

Rome lasted for 1,000 years, but it collapsed in just 8.6 years. History is repeating. Biden has been FAR WORSE than anything I personally would have speculated. The forecasts come from Socrates, not me personally. There is NO human being who would have postulated that ANY world leader would be this outrageous. Indeed, 8.6-years from the time Biden took office will be 2029.65 (August 25th, 2029).  Just as our models are warning that the French Fifth Republic will come to an end by 2030, the same is true for most Republics that will include the United States.

Germany to Separate North v South by 2030

Posted Nov 18, 2019 by Martin Armstrong

QUESTION:

Martin,

Following the recent State elections in Saxony, Brandenburg and Thuringia which reflected voter disillusionment and discontent with the CDU and SPD how do you view the German political scene to the 2021 Federal election?

JR

REPLY: Bavaria came into existence in 1806 when Napoleon abolished the Holy Roman Empire. It was at this time that Bavaria’s land area was greatly expanded. Our cyclical model on Bavaria suggests that it will separate from northern Germany by 2030. This will be inspired by the austerity policies that have devastated the local economy. However, this will only be augmented by the difference in religion between Protestant v Catholic. That was also a factor in why Bavaria joined with Austria, which was also Catholic, in the war Austro-Prussian War that resulted in Bavaria’s defeat in 1866. Bavaria had to cede several Lower Franconian districts to Prussia.

The Bavarian conservative party, the CSU, lost its absolute majority once the Economic Confidence Model turned in 2017 during the subsequent election in 2018. Meanwhile, the Greens emerged as the second-largest political force in southern Germany. Additionally, the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis is impacting the municipal level and the austerity policies imposed by the north continue to brew civil discontent. The loss of the CSU in Germany undermined the survivability of Merkel which instigated her demise.

The civil unrest will turn upward sharply when this current wave concludes 2021.32. The eventual separation of Germany will most likely unfold by 2030.